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Futures Beginner Went Long at 50,000 Points and Averaged Down, Losing NT$638,750

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An online user with over 3 years of ETF investing tried futures for the first time, going long on the index when the broader market was at 50,000 points and averaging down to more than 10 contracts. He eventually closed out all positions with a loss of NT$638,750, sparking heated community discussion about leverage and stop-losses.

Entered at 50,000 Points and Added to Over 10 Contracts

A user posted on Dcard on October 31 under the title "Graduated, will never touch futures again," saying he had invested in stocks for over 3 years buying only ETFs and never using margin, and tried futures trading for the first time this month. He went long on the index when the broader market was at 50,000 points, continuously averaging down and adding long positions to accumulate more than 10 contracts. Both front-month and deferred-month contracts have been fully closed, and he decided to cut losses and exit, deleting his trading app and saying he will never touch futures again.

Front- and Deferred-Month Positions Fully Closed With NT$638,750 Loss

According to his posted trading records, he sold 13 contracts of Micro TAIEX Futures November 2026 contract Micro TAIEX 2611 with a net loss of NT$595,920; and sold 1 contract of the December 2026 contract Micro TAIEX 2612 with a net loss of NT$42,830, for a combined loss of NT$638,750 on TWD-denominated products. The original poster mentioned that last year he had asked a teacher to read his palm, and was warned he could suffer a major financial loss. Although he did not believe in fortune-telling, he still wore gold jewelry hoping to ward off the bad fortune, only to suffer a large loss on his first futures trade.

Once Up About NT$20,000 but Did Not Exit, Losses Then Widened

The original poster later revealed in the comments that he had actually been up about NT$20,000 at the beginning, but did not exit then, and losses gradually widened afterward. He admitted that because he did not want margin tied up inside anymore and affecting his mood, he has deleted the app. The post drew heated discussion, with comments noting that the biggest dividing line between futures and stocks is that averaging down on losing positions will wipe you out, and that treating futures like stocks is a sure way to lose, highlighting the difference between leveraged products and cash stocks.

Community Urges Conservative Trading and Strict Stop-Losses

Other users reminded that beginners in futures should trade conservatively and should not keep adding long positions when the market moves against them, saying that when something looks wrong you should either put up sufficient margin or reverse to short, not add to long positions. Other analysis noted the original poster did not lose more than NT$600,000 all at once, but rather let a small loss grow larger, refusing to admit mistakes in time and trying to average down while waiting for a rebound, ultimately bearing a larger loss, adding that he lacked the skills to judge trends and set entry and exit conditions — without leverage, stocks can be averaged down and held until breakeven, while futures are for traders who dare to admit mistakes and stop out.

FAQ

How much did this futures beginner actually lose?

He sold 13 contracts of Micro TAIEX Futures November 2026 contract Micro TAIEX 2611 with a net loss of NT$595,920; and sold 1 contract of the December 2026 contract Micro TAIEX 2612 with a net loss of NT$42,830, for a combined loss of NT$638,750 on TWD-denominated products, with both front-month and deferred-month positions fully closed.

What is the original poster's investment background?

He said he had invested in stocks for over 3 years buying only ETFs and never using margin, tried futures for the first time this month, and went long when the broader market was at 50,000 points. He was once up about NT$20,000 but did not exit, later widened losses by continuously averaging down, and finally cut losses and deleted his trading app.

What did other users say about the incident?

Comments mostly focused on leverage and risk-control differences, such as that the biggest dividing line between futures and stocks is that averaging down on losing positions will wipe you out. Others suggested putting up sufficient margin or reversing to short when the market turns unfavorable, rather than adding to long positions, and noted that futures are for traders who dare to admit mistakes and stop out. This information is for reference only. Investors should make independent judgments, evaluate carefully, and bear their own investment risks.