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Tech Giants' Earnings Week Puts AI Server Chain to the Test

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30-second brief

U.S. tech giants' earnings reports and the Federal Reserve's rate decision arrive in succession, with markets focused on cloud growth, AI capital expenditure and cash flow. Taiwan AI server supply-chain order momentum and 00952 positioning are in focus, and the subsequent outlook will affect tech stock valuations and trends.

Tech Giants Report in Succession as Markets Focus on Cloud and Spending

U.S. earnings season features Alphabet and Microsoft kicking things off this week, followed by Amazon, with markets focused on cloud business growth momentum, AI capital expenditure scale and free cash flow conditions. Earnings from chipmakers such as Intel and SanDisk are also moving the semiconductor sector. With the Federal Reserve's rate decision also due, cloud business growth, AI infrastructure investment scale and corporate financial health are all key indicators for the outlook for tech stocks. For Taiwan's supply chain, the related earnings help gauge the investment direction of large cloud operators and how it translates into order momentum for server and component makers. Markets are also watching whether capital expenditure can translate into actual returns, with cloud growth rates, spending plans and cash flow changes potentially affecting judgments on the supply-chain order outlook.

00952 Has Over 30% Server Weighting, Linked to Infrastructure Demand

Benefiting from the global cloud infrastructure build-out boom, AI server demand continues to surge. Taiwan's first Taiwan-stock ETF focused on AI, the KGI Taiwan AI 50, tracks a Taiwan AI industry chain index covering 50 constituent stocks, spanning not only chips but also servers, electronic components and related equipment makers. Among them, Wistron, Inventec, Gigabyte, Pegatron, Wiwynn, Hon Hai and Quanta and other server and system assembly-related companies together account for about 32.4% by weight based on October 29 holdings data. From server design and system integration to full-system manufacturing, Taiwan makers play an important role in the global AI hardware supply chain, giving the 00952 portfolio a link to AI infrastructure demand.

Institutions See Strong Pull-Ins, but Individual Stock Risks Remain

Although Taiwan stocks recently saw sharp volatility on concerns over AI companies expanding aggressively with heavy debt, large institutional investors stress that pull-in demand for AI and general-purpose servers remains very strong from the second half of this year into next year. Foreign brokerage Goldman Sachs recently sharply raised its global AI server market outlook, expecting rack-level system adoption, growth in cloud operators' in-house chip demand and rising memory prices to lift the total addressable market for the overall global server market in 2027 and 2028 by 31% and 45%, respectively. Even with a positive long-term industry demand outlook, individual companies may still be affected by customer pull-in schedules, cost changes and market competition. For investors looking to participate in AI industry growth, in addition to watching tech giants' earnings signals, they should also watch whether Taiwan makers can continue to benefit from order growth and convert it into profit. Stocks and ETFs mentioned are not investment advice; risks should be carefully assessed at one's own discretion.

FAQ

What are the key points to watch in U.S. earnings this week?

Alphabet and Microsoft report first, followed by Amazon, with markets focused on cloud business growth momentum, AI capital expenditure scale and free cash flow. Intel and SanDisk earnings are also moving the semiconductor sector, with the Federal Reserve's rate decision also due.

How is 00952 linked to the AI server supply chain?

The KGI Taiwan AI 50 covers 50 constituent stocks. Server and system assembly-related companies including Wistron, Inventec, Gigabyte, Pegatron, Wiwynn, Hon Hai and Quanta together account for about 32.4% by weight based on October 29 holdings data, covering design, system integration and full-system manufacturing.

How do institutions view the AI server outlook and risks?

Large institutions say pull-in demand for AI and general-purpose servers remains strong from the second half of this year into next year, with Goldman Sachs raising its total addressable market estimates for the overall global server market in 2027 and 2028 by 31% and 45%, respectively, though individual companies remain exposed to pull-in schedules, cost changes and competition.